Sunday, October 29, 2006

2006 hurricanes?

What happened to all the disastrous hurricanes that were supposed to come this year? I haven't heard of a single one yet.

Here's the NOAA wrap-up of the 2006 hurricane season.

2006 Hurricane Season Summary

FOUR HURRICANES...FLORENCE...GORDON...HELENE...AND ISAAC DEVELOPED
IN THE ATLANTIC BASIN DURING SEPTEMBER.  ERNESTO...
WHICH DEVELOPED IN AUGUST...WAS STILL A TROPICAL CYCLONE AS THE
MONTH OF SEPTEMBER BEGAN.  TWO OF THE HURRICANES...GORDON AND
HELENE...BECAME MAJOR HURRICANES.  OVERALL...NEAR NORMAL LEVELS OF
TROPICAL CYCLONE ACTIVITY OCCURRED DURING SEPTEMBER.

SUMMARY TABLE

 
 
NAME             DATES        MAX WIND   DEATHS   U.S. DAMAGE
                                MPH                $MILLION
---------------------------------------------------------------
H ERNESTO     24 AUG-2 SEP       75         2          N/A
H FLORENCE     3-12 SEP          90         0          0
H GORDON      10-20 SEP         120         0          0
H HELENE      12-24 SEP         125         0          0
H ISAAC       27 SEP-            85         0          0
-------------------------------------------------------------- 


Here's a series of 2006 hurricane forecasts, starting from early in the
year and progressing to just a few weeks ago.

2006 Hurricane Forecasts

Last spring these guys were really excited that 2006 would be a huge hurricane season. But as the year passed, few of the major storms materialized. On that basis I think you could safely say that their
predictions are just about worthless.

Today in Sunday School we studied Jeremiah. My observation about Jeremiah was that if someone like that was around today, he would be some kind of cultist fanatic nut case.

The surprising thing was, in spite of all his kooky behavior, Jeremiah was very close with the Lord, and his dire prognostications were correct, and ultimately were all fulfilled.

Compare and contrast Jeremiah with some of the modern authors of the global warming jeremiad. (Algore, in particular.) I think these politicians and scientists are false prophets. Their predictions are accurate only as far as their egos can carry them. If they were honest, they would publish their forecasts with a bit more humility.

Another question that came up today in the discussion of hurricanes.

It seemed that George Bush got all kinds of flak last year associated with Hurricane Katrina. It was almost as if a lot of people blamed him personally for causing the storm.

Does he get credit this year for preventing hurricanes?

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